Naoya Honda vs Sora FukudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoya Honda and Sora Fukuda have met 1 time since 2026; Sora Fukuda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Honda has taken 0 sets to Fukuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sora Fukuda won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Honda | Fukuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoya Honda | Sora Fukuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 28/34 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 16/61 | 33% | 15/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 15/26 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 32/41 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 28/41 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Honda 0, Fukuda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Honda
💥 Big Hitter
Fukuda
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Honda | Fukuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoya Honda | Sora Fukuda | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -4.4% | +18.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.74u | +1.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 542 mi · 872 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Honda and Fukuda posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Bar Biryukov | L 36 46 | L 57 67 |
| Kazushi | W 61 62 | W 64 62 |
| Ryotaro Taguchi | L 63 57 36 | L 76 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristjan Tamm
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Marat Sharipov
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Petr Bar Biryukov
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jesse Flores
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Duan Hao
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Ryota Tanuma
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Naoki Nakagawa
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Urayasu · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Philip Sekulic
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yusuke Kusuhara
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Alibek Kachmazov
M15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 6
Grigory Shebekin
M15 Astana · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Sergey Petrov
M15 Astana · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Shintaro Imai
M15 Astana · 1st Round
Jul 29
Yusuke Takahashi
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–61 matches
| Metric | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 59% |
| Sets won | 57% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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