Naoya Honda vs Sora FukudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoya Honda and Sora Fukuda have met 1 time since 2026; Sora Fukuda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Honda has taken 0 sets to Fukuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sora Fukuda won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Honda | Fukuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoya Honda | Sora Fukuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 22/28 | 93% | 27/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 16/53 | 24% | 12/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 11/25 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 15/22 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 77% | 27/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Honda 0, Fukuda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Honda
⚙️ Grinder
Fukuda
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 279 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Honda | Fukuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoya Honda | Sora Fukuda | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 15/20 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 11/20 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -0.7% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.14u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Honda and Fukuda posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Kazushi | W 61 62 | W 64 62 |
| Sanhui Shin | L 36 06 | L 76 46 36 |
| Ryotaro Taguchi | L 63 57 36 | L 76 46 67 |
| San Hui Sin | L 36 06 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kaylan Bigun
M25 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ryan Dickerson
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 4
Keaton Hance
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
Evan Bynoe
M25 Champaign · Final
Jul 26
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · Semifinals
Jul 25
Nikita Filin
M25 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Champaign · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Alibek Kachmazov
M15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 6
Grigory Shebekin
M15 Astana · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Sergey Petrov
M15 Astana · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Shintaro Imai
M15 Astana · 1st Round
Jul 29
Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Shunsuke Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 17
Hyu Kawanishi
Futures 2026
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–53 matches
| Metric | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 58% |
| Sets won | 54% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Honda | Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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