Naoya Honda vs Ryota TanumaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoya Honda and Ryota Tanuma have met 1 time since 2026; Ryota Tanuma leads 1–0. Across all meetings Honda has taken 1 sets to Tanuma's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ryota Tanuma won at M25 Sapporo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Honda | Tanuma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoya Honda | Ryota Tanuma | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 28/34 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 17/62 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 15/26 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 32/42 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 28/42 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Honda 0, Tanuma 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Honda
💥 Big Hitter
Tanuma
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naoya Honda.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 9, 2026
M25 Sapporo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Honda | Tanuma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoya Honda | Ryota Tanuma | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Honda | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -4.4% | +5.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.74u | +0.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Honda | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 542 mi · 872 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Honda and Tanuma posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Honda | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| Kazushi | W 61 62 | W 60 60 |
| Naoki Nakagawa | L 16 16 | L 36 36 |
| Taisei Ichikawa | W 61 26 64 | W 61 46 105 |
| Ryotaro Taguchi | L 63 57 36 | L 36 62 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristjan Tamm
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Marat Sharipov
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Petr Bar Biryukov
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jesse Flores
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Duan Hao
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Ryota Tanuma
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Naoki Nakagawa
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jerry Roddick
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Naoya Honda
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Mao Takada
M25 Sapporo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Choma Masuda
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Naoki Nakagawa
M25 Urayasu · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yuta Kawahashi
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sena Sasaki
M25 Urayasu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–62 matches
| Metric | Honda | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 55% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Honda | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Honda | Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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