Naoya Honda vs Nikita FilinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoya Honda and Nikita Filin have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Champaign in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Honda has taken 3 sets to Filin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nikita Filin won at M25 East Lansing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Honda | Filin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoya Honda | Nikita Filin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 22/28 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 16/53 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 11/25 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 15/22 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 83% | 5/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Honda 1, Filin 0).
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
M25 East Lansing
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 24, 2026
M25 Champaign
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Honda | Filin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoya Honda | Nikita Filin | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 15/20 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 11/20 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Honda | Filin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | -0.7% | +18.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.14u | +1.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Honda | Filin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kaylan Bigun
M25 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ryan Dickerson
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 4
Keaton Hance
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
Evan Bynoe
M25 Champaign · Final
Jul 26
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · Semifinals
Jul 25
Nikita Filin
M25 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Champaign · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Ozan Baris
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Marko Mesarovic
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Naoya Honda
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Ozan Baris
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
Naoya Honda
M25 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Jelani Sarr
M25 Champaign · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Tighe Brunetti
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–53 matches
| Metric | Honda | Filin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 60% |
| Sets won | 54% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Honda | Filin |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Honda | Filin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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