Nanari Katsumi vs Natsuki YoshimotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Nanari Katsumi and Natsuki Yoshimoto have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at W35 Fukuoka in 2026 on carpet. Across all meetings Katsumi has taken 2 sets to Yoshimoto's 3. Their most recent meeting: Natsuki Yoshimoto won at W15 Fukui (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Katsumi | Yoshimoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nanari Katsumi | Natsuki Yoshimoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 6/11 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 16% | 3/19 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 8/30 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 4/7 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 8/9 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Katsumi 0, Yoshimoto 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Katsumi
🛡️ The Spoiler
Yoshimoto
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 66% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,056 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Natsuki Yoshimoto.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 27, 2026
W15 Fukui
H Hard · 1st Round
May 6, 2026
W35 Fukuoka
? Carpet · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Katsumi | Yoshimoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nanari Katsumi | Natsuki Yoshimoto | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Katsumi | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.85 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | -2.4% | -26.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.12u | -3.38u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Katsumi | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | ITA → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Yoshimoto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Katsumi's 0%).
| Opponent | Katsumi | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Shiho Tsujioka | L 46 76 36 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sarah Mildren
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Stefani Webb
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Ya Yi Yang
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 14
Lily Fairclough
Rome ITF
Jun 22
Alina Shcherbinina
W15 Irvine · 1st Round
Jun 16
Eri Shimizu
W15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Stefani Webb
W15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Natsuki Yoshimoto
W15 Fukui · 1st Round
May 27
Eunyeong Park
W15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 19
Yushan Shao
W15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 11
Lily Taylor
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
Destanee Aiava
W15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Jul 25
I Wen Wan
W15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Mutsumi Uemura
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mana Kawamura
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 21
Belle Thompson
W15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Jul 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–39 matches
| Metric | Katsumi | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 62% |
| Sets won | 37% | 59% |
| Games won | 45% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Katsumi | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Katsumi | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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