Nadia Podoroska vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Nadia Podoroska
#203 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3w45 meetings · sets 8–5
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleNadia Podoroska and Tatjana Maria have met 5 times since 2020; Nadia Podoroska leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Oracle Challenger Series - Newport Beach in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Podoroska leads 3–1. Podoroska has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Podoroska leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Podoroska has taken 8 sets to Maria's 5. Their most recent meeting: Nadia Podoroska won at Barranquilla Open - Barranquilla (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Podoroska | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nadia Podoroska | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 23/32 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 16/43 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 12/21 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 8/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 27/31 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 23/31 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Podoroska 1, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Podoroska
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tatjana Maria.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 17, 2024
Barranquilla Open - Barranquilla
H Hard · Final
May 20, 2024
Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem - Rabat
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 15, 2022
Chennai Open - Chennai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 21, 2022
Championnats Banque Nationale - Granby
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 31, 2020
Oracle Challenger Series - Newport Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Podoroska | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nadia Podoroska | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.69 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +36.6% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.13u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | BRA | UKR → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Podoroska's 25%).
| Opponent | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | L 46 62 06 | W 61 62 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 63 64 | W 61 60 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 26 63 46 | L 36 57 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 26 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kaitlin Quevedo
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Final
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Suzan Lamens
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Eva Lys
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Lucrezia Stefanini
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 15
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Ena Koike
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 8
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–60 matches
| Metric | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 53% |
| Sets won | 70% | 55% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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