Nadia Podoroska vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Nadia Podoroska
#447 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4w5 meetings · sets 8–5
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Nadia Podoroska and Tatjana Maria have met 5 times since 2020; Nadia Podoroska leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Oracle Challenger Series - Newport Beach in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Podoroska leads 3–1. Podoroska has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Podoroska leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Podoroska has taken 8 sets to Maria's 5. Their most recent meeting: Nadia Podoroska won at Barranquilla Open - Barranquilla (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Podoroska | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nadia Podoroska | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 71% | 5/7 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 11/29 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 10/17 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Podoroska 1, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Podoroska
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 17, 2024
Barranquilla Open - Barranquilla
H Hard · Final
May 20, 2024
Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem - Rabat
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 15, 2022
Chennai Open - Chennai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 21, 2022
Championnats Banque Nationale - Granby
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 31, 2020
Oracle Challenger Series - Newport Beach
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Podoroska | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nadia Podoroska | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.12 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -19.4% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.52u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Podoroska and Maria posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Petra Marcinko | L 26 63 46 | L 36 57 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 26 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Sara Cakarevic
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 1st Round
Jul 29
Julia Stusek
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 20
Petra Marcinko
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 13
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W35 San Gregorio · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Ruo Nan Zhang
San Gregorio 4 ITF · Round of 16
Jun 18
Ruien Zhang
W35 San Gregorio · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–60 matches
| Metric | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 50% |
| Sets won | 71% | 52% |
| Games won | 57% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Podoroska | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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