Mwendwa Mbithi vs Niccolo BaroniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mwendwa Mbithi and Niccolo Baroni have met 1 time since 2025; Mwendwa Mbithi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mbithi has taken 2 sets to Baroni's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mwendwa Mbithi won at M15 Monastir 29 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mbithi | Baroni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mwendwa Mbithi | Niccolo Baroni | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 11/17 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 12/37 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 9/18 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 11/19 | 50% | 2/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mbithi 1, Baroni 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mbithi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baroni
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mwendwa Mbithi.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 24, 2025
M15 Monastir 29
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mbithi | Baroni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mwendwa Mbithi | Niccolo Baroni | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mbithi | Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -29.6% | -10.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.07u | -0.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Mbithi and Baroni posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Mbithi | Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Katz | W 46 63 64 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Niels Peter Van Noord
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Andres Delgadillo
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Jul 25
Emiliano Aguilera
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mauricio Echazu
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Christopher Papa
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 5
Matias Soto
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Luca Wiedenmann
M15 Store · Final
Jul 5
Davide Tortora
M15 Store · Semifinals
Jul 4
Marko Retelj
M15 Store · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Dmitry Kopilevich
M15 Store · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Aljaz Jeran
M15 Store · 1st Round
Jul 1
Branko Djuric
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jun 17
Deren Yigin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jun 10
Maik Steiner
M15 Tallahassee 1 · 1st Round
Nov 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–37 matches
| Metric | Mbithi | Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 50% |
| Sets won | 47% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mbithi | Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mbithi | Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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