Monika Ekstrand vs Tia MesserliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Monika Ekstrand
#841 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
4w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇸Tia Messerli
Unranked · 17 yrs
10wMonika Ekstrand and Tia Messerli have met 2 times since 2026; Monika Ekstrand leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at W15 Los Angeles in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Ekstrand leads 2–0. Ekstrand has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ekstrand has taken 4 sets to Messerli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Monika Ekstrand won at W15 Irvine (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ekstrand | Messerli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Monika Ekstrand | Tia Messerli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 10/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 11% | 1/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 5/23 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 8/17 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 2/5 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 6/6 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 11/14 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 75% | 3/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ekstrand 2, Messerli 0).
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
W15 Irvine
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 11, 2026
W15 Los Angeles
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ekstrand | Messerli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Monika Ekstrand | Tia Messerli | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ekstrand | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 5.10 |
| ROI % | -16.9% | -21.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -1.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ekstrand | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | NED | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brooke Black
W35 Roehampton · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Katarina Kuzmova
W35 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hannah Klugman
W35 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alice Gillan
W35 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jia Jing Lu
W50 Columbus · 1st Round
Jul 8
Jiaxi Lu
Columbus ITF · Round of 32
Jul 8
Ariana Arseneault
W35 Rome · 1st Round
Jun 24
Kaitlyn Carnicella
Irvine ITF · Semifinals
Jun 20
Avery Nguyen
W15 Claremont · 1st Round
Jun 24
Monika Ekstrand
W15 Irvine · 1st Round
Jun 17
Monika Ekstrand
W15 Los Angeles · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Klara Kosan
W15 Los Angeles · 1st Round
Jun 10
Thara Gowda
W15 Lakewood · 1st Round
Jun 3
Darja Suvirdjonkova
W15 Gaborone · 2nd Round
May 14
Kuzivaishe Chapepa
W15 Gaborone · 1st Round
May 12
Maayan Laron
W15 Mbombela · 2nd Round
May 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–23 matches
| Metric | Ekstrand | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 36% |
| Sets won | 51% | 35% |
| Games won | 49% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ekstrand | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ekstrand | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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