Monika Ekstrand vs Tia MesserliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Monika Ekstrand
#841 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
10w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇸Tia Messerli
Unranked · 17 yrs
16wMonika Ekstrand and Tia Messerli have met 2 times since 2026; Monika Ekstrand leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at W15 Los Angeles in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Ekstrand leads 2–0. Ekstrand has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ekstrand has taken 4 sets to Messerli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Monika Ekstrand won at W15 Irvine (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ekstrand | Messerli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Monika Ekstrand | Tia Messerli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 92% | 12/13 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 5/25 | 22% | 5/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 8/16 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 7/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 92% | 11/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 83% | 10/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ekstrand 2, Messerli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ekstrand
👑 The Complete Package
Messerli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Monika Ekstrand.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
W15 Irvine
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 11, 2026
W15 Los Angeles
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ekstrand | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.52 | - |
| ROI % | -0.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.02u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ekstrand has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Messerli's 0%).
| Opponent | Ekstrand | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 64 62 | L 26 64 510 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brooke Black
W35 Roehampton · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Katarina Kuzmova
W35 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ciara Moore
W35 Roehampton · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Ellie Blackford
W35 Roehampton · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Hannah Klugman
W35 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alice Gillan
W35 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jiaxi Lu
Columbus ITF · Round of 32
Jul 8
Jia Jing Lu
W50 Columbus · 1st Round
Jul 8
Yuna Yang
W15 Yeongwol · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Avery Nguyen
W15 Claremont · 1st Round
Jun 24
Monika Ekstrand
W15 Irvine · 1st Round
Jun 17
Yulia Zhytelna
W15 Irvine · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 16
Monika Ekstrand
W15 Los Angeles · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Klara Kosan
W15 Los Angeles · 1st Round
Jun 10
Thara Gowda
W15 Lakewood · 1st Round
Jun 3
Marilouise Van Zyl
W15 Gaborone · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–25 matches
| Metric | Ekstrand | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 57% |
| Sets won | 55% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ekstrand | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ekstrand | Messerli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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