Misaki Matsuda vs Yuki NaitoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Misaki Matsuda
#456 · 27 yrs
17w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇯🇵Yuki Naito
#290 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5Misaki Matsuda and Yuki Naito have met 1 time since 2026; Yuki Naito leads 1–0. Across all meetings Matsuda has taken 0 sets to Naito's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yuki Naito won at W35 Andong (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuda | Naito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Misaki Matsuda | Yuki Naito | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 25/31 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 4/18 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 10/49 | 30% | 17/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 18/31 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuda 0, Naito 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Naito
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yuki Naito.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 14, 2026
W35 Andong
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuda | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.33 |
| ROI % | - | -1.9% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuda | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | EST → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Naito has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Matsuda's 50%).
| Opponent | Matsuda | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Saito | L 62 57 26 | L 36 61 16 |
| Kyoka Takahashi | W 60 63 | L 36 67 |
| Eri Shimizu | W 63 63 | W 75 64 |
| Thasaporn Naklo | W 75 63 | L 36 46 |
| Valentina Ryser | L 36 36 | W 64 63 |
| Hina Inoue | L 67 26 | W 67 75 64 |
| Sakura Hosogi | L 36 36 | W 61 62 |
| Miho Kuramochi | W 60 61 | W 46 75 62 |
| Hayu Kinoshita | W 64 62 | L 46 16 |
| Polona Hercog | L 06 36 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Eri Shimizu
W35 Taipei · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Reina Goto
W35 Taipei · 1st Round
Jun 16
Haruka Kaji
W100 Takasaki · 1st Round
May 20
Ikumi Yamazaki
W100 Takasaki · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 19
Yuka Hosoki
W100 Takasaki · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Yuki Naito
W35 Andong · 2nd Round
May 14
Yugyeong Oh
W35 Andong · 1st Round
May 13
Jeongha Oh
W35 Andong · Round of 32
May 13
Alexis Nguyen
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Ayla Aksu
Ankara Open - Ankara · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alexandra Shubladze
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 8
Darya Astakhova
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round
Sep 1
Renata Zarazua
W100 Evansville · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Madison Brengle
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 23
Fiona Crawley
W100 Evansville · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Boyoung Jeong
W100 Evansville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–56 matches
| Metric | Matsuda | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 61% |
| Sets won | 61% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuda | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuda | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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