Milos Karol vs Oleksii KrutykhPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Maia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 7:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.36 or longer, Milos Karol has won 11 of 26 (42%). The price implied 33%, so Milos Karol has beaten it by 9 points.
At 1.53 or shorter, Oleksii Krutykh has won 38 of 61 (62%). The price implied 67%, so Oleksii Krutykh has fallen 5 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Oleksii Krutykh meets Milos Karol in the 3rd Round Qualifying at the Maia Challenger on October 12, with clay courts in play. Krutykh, ranked 456, has moved through the draw quickly, playing five matches in two weeks. Karol sits at 583 and has advanced more slowly, with just two matches in the same span.
The two have never played. Krutykh has taken 80% of his last five matches and 60% over ten, while Karol has maintained a steady 60% across both windows. On clay, Krutykh's record stands at 13-7; Karol has struggled on the surface at 8-12. Both players faced Adrian Oetzbach recently and lost, though each has beaten Filip Pieczonka and Michael Vrbensky in recent weeks.
Krutykh operates as a reactive player who reads and returns pace from the baseline, while Karol relies on a strong serve as his primary weapon. Krutykh's clay form runs solid at 65%, whereas Karol's 40% on the surface reflects consistent difficulty there. The match will be decided by whether Karol can establish his service game quickly or if Krutykh's return and counterattacking wear down the points.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karol | Krutykh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Milos Karol | Oleksii Krutykh | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 18/28 | 73% | 36/49 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/47 | 33% | 25/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 52% | 26/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 5/10 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 11/26 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 83% | 40/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 75% | 36/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karol
🤖 Servebot
Krutykh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Milos Karol.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Karol and Krutykh have never faced each other on tour.
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karol | Krutykh |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +20.5% | -14.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.41u | -3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Karol and Krutykh posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Karol | Krutykh |
|---|---|---|
| Filip Pieczonka | W 62 64 | W 62 46 60 |
| Michael Vrbensky | W 76 61 | W 26 62 64 |
| Adrian Oetzbach | L 63 36 67 | L 46 57 |
| Andrej Nedic | L 67 46 | L 61 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dali Blanch
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Tiago Cacao
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luca Castelnuovo
Enea Poznan Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michael Vrbensky
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Alex Molcan
Prostejov Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Diogo Marques
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Luka Mikrut
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Javier Barranco Cosano
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Filip Pieczonka
Braga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Francisco Rocha
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Petros Tsitsipas
M25 Pardubice · 1st Round
Sep 23
Massimo Giunta
Genoa Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Stefan Popovic
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–75 matches
| Metric | Karol | Krutykh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 65% |
| Sets won | 58% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |