Milos Karol vs Nicolas Alvarez VaronaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇸🇰Milos Karol
#522 · 23 yrs · R
11w1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇪🇸Nicolas Alvarez Varona
#686 · 25 yrs · R
12wMilos Karol and Nicolas Alvarez Varona have met 1 time since 2026; Nicolas Alvarez Varona leads 1–0. Across all meetings Karol has taken 1 sets to Varona's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Alvarez Varona won at Bratislava Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karol | Alvarez Varona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Milos Karol | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 18/29 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 11/21 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 22/50 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 15/31 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 35% | 12/34 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karol 0, Alvarez Varona 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karol
🤖 Servebot
Varona
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Milos Karol.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 7, 2026
Bratislava Open
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karol | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.61 | 2.74 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -11.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -0.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Varona has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Karol's 75%).
| Opponent | Karol | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Mazza | L 57 36 | W 75 64 |
| Younes Lalami Laaroussi | W 64 67 76 | W 36 76 63 |
| Younes Lalami | W 64 67 76 | W 36 76 63 |
| Matteo Sabbatini | W 26 62 62 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luca Castelnuovo
Enea Poznan Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michael Vrbensky
Enea Poznan Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Alex Molcan
Prostejov Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Marek Gengel
Unicredit Czech Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Saba Purtseladze
Unicredit Czech Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Milos Karol
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Valentin Royer
Perugia Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Manuel Mazza
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Benjamin Winter Lopez
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Oriol Roca Batalla
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Mataro · Round of 16
May 21
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Mataro · 2nd Round
May 21
Younes Lalami
M25 Mataro · 1st Round
May 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–50 matches
| Metric | Karol | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karol | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karol | Varona |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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