Mikhail Kukushkin vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π°πΏMikhail Kukushkin
#358 Β· 38 yrs Β· R
17w2 meetings Β· sets 4β1

π·πΊPavel Kotov
#187 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
Mikhail Kukushkin and Pavel Kotov have met 2 times since 2025; Mikhail Kukushkin leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Bordeaux Challenger in 2025 on clay. Kukushkin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kukushkin has taken 4 sets to Kotov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Mikhail Kukushkin won at Gwangju Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kukushkin | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mikhail Kukushkin | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 5/20 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 10/45 | 43% | 19/44 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 14/26 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kukushkin 1, Kotov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kukushkin
πΉ Frontrunner
Kotov
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs πΉ Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pavel Kotov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 21, 2026
Gwangju Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
May 14, 2025
Bordeaux Challenger
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kukushkin | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 11β5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.17 |
| ROI % | - | +24.1% |
| Units P/L | - | +3.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kukushkin | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 1 |
| Events | β | 3 |
| Matches | β | 11 |
| Distance | β | 1,797 mi Β· 2,892 km |
| Route | β | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kukushkin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Kotov's 44%).
| Opponent | Kukushkin | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Marat Sharipov | W 64 64 | L 06 36 |
| Mark Lajal | L 67 76 67 | W 36 64 64 |
| Leandro Riedi | L 36 26 | L |
| Jie Cui | W 46 64 61 | L 26 63 46 |
| Clement Chidekh | L | W 16 61 76 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 36 26 | L |
| Tom Gentzsch | W 62 64 | W 64 16 76 |
| Remy Bertola | W 61 62 | L 67 57 |
| Christoph Negritu | W 62 61 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Damir Dzumhur
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Mark Lajal
Wuxi Challenger Β· 2nd Round
May 6
Tianhui Zhang
Wuxi Challenger Β· 1st Round
May 4
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Jiujiang Challenger Β· 1st Round
Apr 29
Coleman Wong
Jiujiang Challenger Β· 1st Round
Apr 29
Leandro Riedi
Gwangju Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Apr 23
Pavel Kotov
Gwangju Challenger Β· 1st Round
Apr 21
Arthur Fils
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Tallon Griekspoor
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Aleksandar Vukic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Martin Damm
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luca Castelnuovo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger Β· Final
Sep 20
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger Β· Semifinals
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 44β45 matches
| Metric | Kukushkin | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 73% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kukushkin | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kukushkin | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.