Mikael Arseneault vs William ManningPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mikael Arseneault and William Manning have met 3 times since 2025; Mikael Arseneault leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Edwardsville 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Arseneault leads 2–1. Across all meetings Arseneault has taken 3 sets to Manning's 2. Their most recent meeting: William Manning won at Futures 2026 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arseneault | Manning | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mikael Arseneault | William Manning | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 8/12 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 9/25 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/5 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 9/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arseneault 1, Manning 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arseneault
🧱 The Wall
Manning
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 386 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward William Manning.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 15, 2026
Futures 2026
H Hard
Jul 30, 2025
M25 Edwardsville IL
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 30, 2025
M25 Edwardsville 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arseneault | Manning | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mikael Arseneault | William Manning | ||
| 1 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Manning |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.87 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -16.3% | +22.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.30u | +2.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Manning |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matisse Farzam
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 26
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Guillaume Dalmasso
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Timo Legout
M25 Laval · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Ryan Colby
M25 Laval · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Niels Peter Van Noord
M25 Laval · 1st Round
Jul 8
William Manning
Futures 2026
Jun 15
Sebastian Gorzny
M25 Wichita · 1st Round
Jun 10
Gavin Young
M25 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Gavin Young
Futures 2026
Jul 9
Jonah Braswell
M25 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 8
Edward Winter
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Giles Hussey
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Braden Shick
M25 Tulsa · 1st Round
Jun 17
Ezekiel Clark
Futures 2026
Jun 16
Mikael Arseneault
Futures 2026
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–26 matches
| Metric | Arseneault | Manning |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 57% |
| Sets won | 50% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arseneault | Manning |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arseneault | Manning |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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