Michael Geerts vs Niels McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Brest Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 26 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.74 or shorter, Michael Geerts has won 50 of 81 (62%). That is level with the 60% the price implied.
At 1.98 or longer, Niels McDonald has won 5 of 16 (31%). The price implied 41%, so Niels McDonald has fallen 10 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Michael Geerts and Niels McDonald meet next at the Brest Challenger on October 26 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Geerts | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Michael Geerts | Niels McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/49 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 79% | 19/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Geerts
🏹 Frontrunner
McDonald
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 245 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Geerts and McDonald have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Geerts | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Michael Geerts | Niels McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 5/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Geerts | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -7.6% | -42.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.06u | -5.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Geerts | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Geerts and McDonald posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Geerts | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Niels Visker | L 67 76 67 | L 36 46 |
| Sandro Kopp | W 63 62 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leo Raquillet
Brest Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Pavel Lagutin
San Gregorio di Catania Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Edas Butvilas
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Joao Domingues
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Vladyslav Orlov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Pierre Delage
Brest Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Jakub Paul
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Niels Visker
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Zaccharie Cado
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Enrico Dalla Valle
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Eduardo Ribeiro
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–55 matches
| Metric | Geerts | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 53% |
| Sets won | 61% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |