Michael Antonius vs Tristan McCormickPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Michael Antonius and Tristan McCormick have met 1 time since 2026; Michael Antonius leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Antonius leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Antonius has taken 2 sets to McCormick's 1. Their most recent meeting: Michael Antonius won at M15 Rochester (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Antonius | McCormick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Michael Antonius | Tristan McCormick | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 14/20 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 10/31 | 48% | 24/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 7/15 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 88% | 7/8 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 20/21 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Antonius 0, McCormick 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Antonius
🪃 Counterpuncher
McCormick
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 19, 2026
M15 Rochester
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Antonius | McCormick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Michael Antonius | Tristan McCormick | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 93% | 25/27 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 74% | 20/27 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 41% | 11/27 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 15% | 4/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 4% | 1/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 4% | 1/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Antonius | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 17–12 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | +17.7% | -2.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | -0.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Antonius | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Antonius and McCormick posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Antonius | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Keaton Hance | L 46 76 36 | L 26 62 26 |
| Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | W 63 46 64 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keaton Hance
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Kei Nishikori
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Henry Searle
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester · Final
Jul 19
Ilyas Milad Fahim
M15 Rochester · Semifinals
Jul 19
Alexander Bernard
M15 Rochester · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dillon Beckles
M15 Rochester · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jonah Braswell
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 15
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M15 Quito · Final
Oct 11
Victor Bini
M15 Quito · Semifinals
Oct 10
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tyler Mercier
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 7
Garrett Johns
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 21
Marcello Serafini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 14
Xavi Palomar
M25 Gijon · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–50 matches
| Metric | Antonius | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 48% |
| Sets won | 61% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Antonius | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Antonius | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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