Mia Ristic vs Rositsa DenchevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mia Ristic and Rositsa Dencheva have met 1 time since 2026; Mia Ristic leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Ristic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Ristic has taken 2 sets to Dencheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mia Ristic won at W75 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ristic | Dencheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mia Ristic | Rositsa Dencheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 69% | 25/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 10/22 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 19/56 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ristic 1, Dencheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ristic
🏹 Frontrunner
Dencheva
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 61% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 533 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mia Ristic.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
W75 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ristic | Dencheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mia Ristic | Rositsa Dencheva | ||
| 1 or more | 68% | 15/22 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 3 or more | 18% | 4/22 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 5 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ristic | Dencheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–6 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +5.0% | -5.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.15u | -0.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ristic | Dencheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 10 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA | FRA → POR → DEN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Dencheva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ristic's 50%).
| Opponent | Ristic | Dencheva |
|---|---|---|
| Julie Struplova | W 60 31 | W 60 63 |
| Alena Kovackova | L 26 36 | W 36 63 62 |
| Ekaterina Kazionova | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Carlota Martinez Cirez | L 64 46 46 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rositsa Dencheva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Final
Aug 16
Matilde Paoletti
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 15
Lisa Zaar
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Zhibek Kulambayeva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Havah Kaur Kaler
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 11
Laura Samson
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Darja Semenistaja
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Anja Stankovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 29
Selena Janicijevic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Luna Vujovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Beatrice Ricci
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 26
Luna Vujovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Zongyu Li
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 18
Mia Ristic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Final
Aug 16
Luna Vujovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–56 matches
| Metric | Ristic | Dencheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 67% |
| Sets won | 60% | 63% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ristic | Dencheva |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ristic | Dencheva |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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