Mia Ristic vs Nuria BrancaccioPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇸Mia Ristic
#195 · 20 yrs
5Title2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇮🇹Nuria Brancaccio
#189 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
4wMia Ristic and Nuria Brancaccio have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at W75 Cordenons 1 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Ristic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Ristic has taken 2 sets to Brancaccio's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mia Ristic won at W75 Cordenons (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ristic | Brancaccio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mia Ristic | Nuria Brancaccio | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 10/22 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 19/56 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ristic 1, Brancaccio 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ristic
🏹 Frontrunner
Brancaccio
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,501 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mia Ristic.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 25, 2026
W75 Cordenons
C Clay · Final
Jul 30, 2025
W75 Cordenons 1
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ristic | Brancaccio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mia Ristic | Nuria Brancaccio | ||
| 1 or more | 68% | 15/22 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 3 or more | 18% | 4/22 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 5 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ristic | Brancaccio |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–6 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | +5.0% | -2.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.15u | -0.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ristic | Brancaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA | FRA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Ristic and Brancaccio posted a 71% win rate.
| Opponent | Ristic | Brancaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Zhibek Kulambayeva | W 64 62 | L 62 16 46 |
| Carlota Martinez Cirez | L 64 46 46 | W 64 61 |
| Laura Hietaranta | W 60 61 | W 62 46 63 |
| Jessica Pieri | W 61 61 | W 62 62 |
| Lola Radivojevic | L 67 60 57 | W 62 62 |
| Irene Burillo | W 60 57 76 | L 63 26 26 |
| Nina Vargova | W 46 62 63 | W 46 62 00 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rositsa Dencheva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Final
Aug 16
Matilde Paoletti
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 15
Lisa Zaar
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Zhibek Kulambayeva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Havah Kaur Kaler
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 11
Laura Samson
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Darja Semenistaja
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Barbora Palicova
W75 Hechingen · Semifinals
Aug 1
Nastasja Schunk
W75 Hechingen · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cagla Buyukakcay
W75 Hechingen · 1st Round
Jul 29
Mia Ristic
W75 Cordenons · Final
Jul 25
Martina Trevisan
W75 Cordenons · Semifinals
Jul 24
Carlota Martinez Cirez
W75 Cordenons · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Martina Colmegna
W75 Cordenons · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Laura Hietaranta
W75 Cordenons · 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–56 matches
| Metric | Ristic | Brancaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 54% |
| Sets won | 60% | 53% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ristic | Brancaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W75 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ristic | Brancaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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