Mert Alkaya vs Yan Cheng ChenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mert Alkaya and Yan Cheng Chen have met 1 time since 2026; Mert Alkaya leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alkaya has taken 2 sets to Chen's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mert Alkaya won at M25 Luan (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alkaya | Cheng Chen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mert Alkaya | Yan Cheng Chen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 44/58 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 14/31 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 28/89 | 30% | 14/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 35/55 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 11/24 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 50/56 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 44/56 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alkaya 1, Cheng Chen 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alkaya
👑 The Complete Package
Chen
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🧱 The Wall across 174 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mert Alkaya.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 9, 2026
M25 Luan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alkaya | Chen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mert Alkaya | Yan Cheng Chen | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alkaya | Chen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 4.86 |
| ROI % | -18.8% | +77.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.01u | +4.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alkaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Chen's 0%).
| Opponent | Alkaya | Chen |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dellavedova | L 26 16 | L |
| Isaac Becroft | W 61 75 | L |
| Digvijay Pratap Singh | W 61 64 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Luan · Final
Oct 11
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Luan · Semifinals
Oct 10
Yan Cheng Chen
M25 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ko Suzuki
M25 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Isaac Becroft
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Francisco Cerundolo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Corban Crowther
M25 Qian Daohu · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Mert Alkaya
M25 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Dong Ju Kim
M25 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alibek Kachmazov
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Digvijaypratap Singh
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Azuma Visaya
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Haruto Ishikawa
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Sep 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–89 matches
| Metric | Alkaya | Chen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 43% |
| Sets won | 63% | 44% |
| Games won | 56% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alkaya | Chen |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alkaya | Chen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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