Mert Alkaya vs Tiago TorresPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mert Alkaya and Tiago Torres have met 1 time since 2026; Mert Alkaya leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alkaya leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alkaya has taken 2 sets to Torres's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mert Alkaya won at M15 Monastir 11 (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Istanbul Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 7 · 3:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.66 or shorter, Mert Alkaya has won 21 of 30 (70%). The price implied 65%, so Mert Alkaya has beaten it by 5 points.
At 2.14 or longer, Tiago Torres has won 9 of 19 (47%). The price implied 37%, so Tiago Torres has beaten it by 10 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Mert Alkaya and Tiago Torres meet in the opening round of the Istanbul Challenger on September 7 on hard court. Alkaya, ranked 300th, holds a 1-0 head-to-head record against Torres, who sits at 352nd. The pair last faced each other with Alkaya emerging victorious.
Torres has posted a 70% win rate on hard courts in his recent sample, while Alkaya has won 45% of his hard-court matches over the same period. Alkaya has won three of his last five matches but carries a one-match losing streak into Istanbul after 23 days away from competition. Torres dropped his last two matches and has played only once in the past fortnight, though he has maintained a 60% win rate over his last ten outings overall.
Alkaya relies on heavy groundstrokes and aggression from the baseline. Torres competes with physicality and resilience, grinding points and wearing down opponents through sustained intensity. Alkaya's power game will demand precision on a hard court where his shots carry pace; Torres must impose his baseline durability and movement to neutralize that firepower and extend rallies into his comfort zone.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alkaya | Torres | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mert Alkaya | Tiago Torres | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 51/63 | 51% | 24/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 14/27 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 26/90 | 45% | 33/74 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 56/62 | 88% | 38/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 51/62 | 56% | 24/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alkaya 1, Torres 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alkaya
💥 Big Hitter
Torres
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,466 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mert Alkaya.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 5, 2026
M15 Monastir 11
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alkaya | Torres | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mert Alkaya | Tiago Torres | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alkaya | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -27.1% | +33.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.61u | +6.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alkaya | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | KAZ | POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alkaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Torres's 60%).
| Opponent | Alkaya | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schoen | W 64 62 | L 16 36 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | L 36 26 | L 62 26 26 |
| Francisco Rocha | W 46 76 61 | W 46 63 62 |
| John Echeverria | W 64 63 | W 63 61 |
| Georgii Kravchenko | W 63 61 | L 36 57 |
| Massimo Giunta | W 76 63 | W 75 26 62 |
| Carles Hernandez | W 75 61 | W 63 46 61 |
| Kasra Rahmani | W 62 26 62 | W 60 62 |
| Amir Omarkhanov | L 57 61 57 | L 16 36 |
| Petr Brunclik | L 57 36 | W 75 06 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Khumoun Sultanov
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Beibit Zhukayev
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Sidharth Rawat
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Kenta Miyoshi
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Saba Purtseladze
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Colin Sinclair
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Akira Santillan
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Mika Petkovic
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Gaston
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Alejandro Tabilo
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Patrick Schoen
M25 Figueira da Foz · Semifinals
Jul 4
Daniil Ostapenkov
M25 Figueira da Foz · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
M25 Figueira da Foz · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Lucca Liu
M25 Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 74–90 matches
| Metric | Alkaya | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 64% |
| Sets won | 68% | 57% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alkaya | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alkaya | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |