Mert Alkaya vs Rigele TePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Ningboo Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 26 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.50 or longer, Rigele Te has won 3 of 14 (21%). The price implied 30%, so Rigele Te has fallen 9 points short of it.
At 1.50 or shorter, Mert Alkaya has won 24 of 33 (73%). That is level with the 71% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Mert Alkaya and Rigele Te meet in the 1st Round of the Ningboo Challenger on October 26 on hard court. Alkaya, ranked 311, has won three of his last five matches but sits on a two-match losing streak. Te is ranked 734 and has won just one of his last five, also losing his last two outings.
The two have never played. Alkaya has defeated three common opponents that Te lost to, including Patrick Schoen and Isaac Becroft, though Te did beat Andre Ilagan. On hard court, Alkaya is 10-10 and Te stands 9-11.
Alkaya operates as a versatile all-court player capable of imposing from multiple positions. Te's game is built around his serve, which will need to create separation on a surface where both have maintained near breakeven records. Alkaya must manage Te's first-serve threat and avoid passive baseline exchanges; Te requires precision with his delivery and depth behind it to control points.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alkaya | Te | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mert Alkaya | Rigele Te | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 37/51 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 14/30 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 28/81 | 28% | 11/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 30/49 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 12/24 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 43/49 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 37/49 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alkaya
👑 The Complete Package
Te
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,787 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Alkaya and Te have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alkaya | Te | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mert Alkaya | Rigele Te | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alkaya | Te |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 4.44 |
| ROI % | -25.1% | +48.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.76u | +5.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alkaya | Te |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alkaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Te's 33%).
| Opponent | Alkaya | Te |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Ilagan | L 46 63 16 | W 63 36 64 |
| Isaac Becroft | W 61 75 | L 16 46 |
| Patrick Schoen | W 64 62 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andre Ilagan
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 19
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Luan · Final
Oct 11
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Luan · Semifinals
Oct 10
Yan Cheng Chen
M25 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ko Suzuki
M25 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Isaac Becroft
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Francisco Cerundolo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Cruz Hewitt
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Adam Walton
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Bernard Tomic
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Casper Ruud
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · Final
Aug 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–81 matches
| Metric | Alkaya | Te |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 55% |
| Sets won | 61% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |