Melina Maria Maruca vs Polina KaibekovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ฆ๐ทMelina Maria Maruca
Unranked ยท 24 yrs
61 meeting ยท sets 0โ2
๐ท๐บPolina Kaibekova
Unranked ยท 19 yrs
11wMelina Maria Maruca and Polina Kaibekova have met 1 time since 2026; Polina Kaibekova leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Maruca has taken 0 sets to Kaibekova's 2. Their most recent meeting: Polina Kaibekova won at W35 Pergamino (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Maruca | Kaibekova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Melina Maria Maruca | Polina Kaibekova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 5/5 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 3/16 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 14% | 3/21 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/3 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Maruca 0, Kaibekova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maruca
๐ Pusher
Kaibekova
๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler archetype wins about 73% vs ๐ Pusher across 960 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Polina Kaibekova.
The Spoiler players often use strong court coverage and strong retrieval to pressure the pusher's extreme retrieval.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
W35 Pergamino
C Clay ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Maruca | Kaibekova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Melina Maria Maruca | Polina Kaibekova | ||
| 1 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 100% | 1/1 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/1 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/1 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/1 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/1 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/1 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Maruca | Kaibekova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0โ3 | 1โ2 |
| Avg odds | 9.80 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -65.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | -1.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maruca | Kaibekova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | USA โ RSA | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Maruca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kaibekova's 0%).
| Opponent | Maruca | Kaibekova |
|---|---|---|
| Camila Bertolini | W 60 60 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Fernanda Rain Contreras
W15 Cipolletti ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Luciana Moyano
W15 Trelew ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez
W15 Pilar ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Paola Lopez
W15 Lujan ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W35 Chacabuco ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Polina Kaibekova
W35 Pergamino ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Ambar Corbalan Miranda
W35 Pergamino ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Victoria Lopez Ocampos
Asuncion ITF
Jun 21
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
W35 Pergamino ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Melina Maria Maruca
W35 Pergamino ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Lucia Grinberg
W35 Pergamino ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Maria Herazo
W75 Vacaria ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto
W75 Vacaria ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Maria Camila Torres Murcia
W35 Sao Paulo ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Maria Luisa Oliveira
W35 Sao Paulo ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Lan Mi
W15 Mbombela ยท 2nd Round
May 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 21โ26 matches
| Metric | Maruca | Kaibekova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 24% | 46% |
| Sets won | 29% | 47% |
| Games won | 40% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maruca | Kaibekova |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maruca | Kaibekova |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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