Maxwell Mckennon vs Ren NakamuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maxwell Mckennon and Ren Nakamura have met 1 time since 2026; Maxwell Mckennon leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mckennon has taken 2 sets to Nakamura's 0. Their most recent meeting: Maxwell Mckennon won at M15 Villahermosa (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mckennon | Nakamura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maxwell Mckennon | Ren Nakamura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 30/33 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 0% | 0/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 12/61 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 22/36 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 6/20 | 0% | 0/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 31% | 4/13 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 33/39 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 30/39 | 50% | 2/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mckennon 1, Nakamura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mckennon
💥 Big Hitter
Nakamura
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maxwell Mckennon.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 29, 2026
M15 Villahermosa
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mckennon | Nakamura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maxwell Mckennon | Ren Nakamura | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 2/2 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/2 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mckennon | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.39 | 6.37 |
| ROI % | -27.0% | -75.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.59u | -3.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mckennon | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Mckennon and Nakamura posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Mckennon | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Patricio Betancourt | W 63 62 | W 61 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mathieu Scaglia
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Izan Almazan Valiente
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Pablo Perez Ramos
M15 Castelo Branco · Semifinals
Jul 18
Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Castelo Branco · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Luke Hooper
M15 Castelo Branco · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Artem Alekseychuk
M15 Castelo Branco · 1st Round
Jul 14
Joao Domingues
M25 Porto · 1st Round
Jun 24
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
M15 Kayseri · Final
Jun 14
Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 22
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Taketo Takamisawa
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Rin Kojima
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Ryota Tanuma
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Jonathan Irwanto
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
M15 Villahermosa · Round of 32
Apr 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–61 matches
| Metric | Mckennon | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 33% |
| Sets won | 56% | 30% |
| Games won | 54% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mckennon | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mckennon | Nakamura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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