Maxwell Exsted vs Theodore DeanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maxwell Exsted and Theodore Dean have met 1 time since 2026; Maxwell Exsted leads 1–0. Across all meetings Exsted has taken 2 sets to Dean's 1. Their most recent meeting: Maxwell Exsted won at M15 Los Angeles (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Exsted | Dean | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maxwell Exsted | Theodore Dean | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 13/28 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/51 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 9/28 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 100% | 12/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 13/23 | 75% | 9/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Exsted 0, Dean 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Exsted
⚔️ The Gladiator
Dean
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maxwell Exsted.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 11, 2026
M15 Los Angeles
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Exsted | Dean | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maxwell Exsted | Theodore Dean | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Exsted | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.60 |
| ROI % | -11.4% | -5.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.29u | -0.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Exsted | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → PAR | AUT → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Dean has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Exsted's 33%).
| Opponent | Exsted | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| Ozan Baris | L 36 16 | L 67 67 |
| Bryce Nakashima | L 36 26 | W 64 62 |
| Benjamin Berger | W 63 64 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 21
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Maximus Dussault
M25 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marcel Zielinski
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luc Wieland
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Aadarsh Tripathi
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Stian Klaassen
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Bryce Nakashima
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 1st Round
Jul 8
Aidan Kim
M15 San Diego · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Rafael De Alba
M15 San Diego · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–51 matches
| Metric | Exsted | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 60% |
| Sets won | 50% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Exsted | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Exsted | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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