Maxwell Exsted vs Santiago GiamichellePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Maxwell Exsted
#891 · 19 yrs · R
5w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇷Santiago Giamichelle
#1267 · 22 yrs · U
6wMaxwell Exsted and Santiago Giamichelle have met 1 time since 2026; Maxwell Exsted leads 1–0. Across all meetings Exsted has taken 2 sets to Giamichelle's 0. Their most recent meeting: Maxwell Exsted won at M15 Asuncion (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Exsted | Giamichelle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maxwell Exsted | Santiago Giamichelle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 12/24 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 3/21 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/45 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 8/26 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 6/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Exsted 1, Giamichelle 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Exsted
⚔️ The Gladiator
Giamichelle
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 383 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 18, 2026
M15 Asuncion
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Exsted | Giamichelle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maxwell Exsted | Santiago Giamichelle | ||
| 1 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Exsted | Giamichelle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -0.1% | -52.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.01u | -3.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Exsted and Giamichelle posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Exsted | Giamichelle |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Berger | W 63 64 | W 75 64 |
| Ignacio Monzon | W 75 67 64 | W 76 16 75 |
| Reda Bennani | L 16 57 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Staeheli
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 21
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jackson Ross
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 2
Julian Cundom
M15 Trelew · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Mar Del Plata · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Agustin Fernandez Badia
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 26
Agustin Fernandez Badia
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 26
Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Agustin Fernandez Badia
M15 Asuncion · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–45 matches
| Metric | Exsted | Giamichelle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 52% |
| Sets won | 49% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Exsted | Giamichelle |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Exsted | Giamichelle |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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