Maxwell Exsted vs Quinn VandecasteelePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maxwell Exsted and Quinn Vandecasteele have met 1 time since 2026; Maxwell Exsted leads 1–0. Across all meetings Exsted has taken 2 sets to Vandecasteele's 1. Their most recent meeting: Maxwell Exsted won at M25 Southaven (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Exsted | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maxwell Exsted | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 12/24 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 3/21 | 41% | 14/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/45 | 30% | 23/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 8/26 | 53% | 23/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 6/13 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 82% | 36/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 75% | 33/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Exsted 0, Vandecasteele 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Exsted
⚔️ The Gladiator
Vandecasteele
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Quinn Vandecasteele.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
M25 Southaven
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Exsted | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maxwell Exsted | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| 1 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Exsted | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -0.1% | -14.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.01u | -2.26u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Exsted | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Exsted has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Vandecasteele's 60%).
| Opponent | Exsted | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nakashima | L 36 26 | L 26 46 |
| Sebastian Gorzny | W | L 36 67 |
| Benjamin Berger | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Tristan McCormick | W 75 64 | W 63 62 |
| Jonathan Mridha | W 60 75 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Staeheli
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 21
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Daniil Ostapenkov
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Preston Stearns
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Daniil Ostapenkov
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Bryce Nakashima
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Noah Zamora
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Li Tu
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–76 matches
| Metric | Exsted | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 55% |
| Sets won | 49% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Exsted | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Exsted | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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