Maxwell Exsted vs Ozan BarisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maxwell Exsted and Ozan Baris have met 1 time since 2026; Ozan Baris leads 1–0. Across all meetings Exsted has taken 0 sets to Baris's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ozan Baris won at M25 Edwardsville (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Exsted | Baris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maxwell Exsted | Ozan Baris | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 13/28 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/51 | 26% | 16/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 9/28 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 13/23 | 81% | 29/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Exsted 0, Baris 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Exsted
⚔️ The Gladiator
Baris
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 31, 2026
M25 Edwardsville
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Exsted | Baris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maxwell Exsted | Ozan Baris | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 100% | 29/29 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 72% | 21/29 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 52% | 15/29 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/29 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/29 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/29 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Exsted | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 27–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.58 |
| ROI % | -11.4% | +23.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.29u | +8.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Exsted | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → PAR | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baris has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Exsted's 71%).
| Opponent | Exsted | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Berger | W 63 64 | W 61 63 |
| Maximus Dussault | L 26 16 | W 63 64 |
| Strong Kirchheimer | L 46 67 | L 26 75 26 |
| Theodore Dean | W 64 67 64 | W 76 76 |
| Theodore Dean | W 64 67 64 | W 76 76 |
| Noah Johnston | W 60 61 | W 64 61 |
| Noah Johnston | W 60 61 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 21
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Maximus Dussault
M25 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Luca Pow
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Mitchell Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 11
Edas Butvilas
Lexington Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Liam Broady
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Edwardsville · Final
Aug 2
Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville · Semifinals
Aug 1
Maxwell Exsted
M25 Edwardsville · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–61 matches
| Metric | Exsted | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 66% |
| Sets won | 50% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Exsted | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Exsted | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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