Maxwell Exsted vs Noah JohnstonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maxwell Exsted and Noah Johnston have met 1 time since 2025; Maxwell Exsted leads 1–0. Across all meetings Exsted has taken 2 sets to Johnston's 0. Their most recent meeting: Maxwell Exsted won at M15 Orlando 3 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Exsted | Johnston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maxwell Exsted | Noah Johnston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 13/28 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/51 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 9/28 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 13/23 | 75% | 3/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Exsted 1, Johnston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Exsted
⚔️ The Gladiator
Johnston
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Maxwell Exsted and Noah Johnston are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,488 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 13, 2025
M15 Orlando 3
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Exsted | Johnston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maxwell Exsted | Noah Johnston | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Exsted | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -11.4% | -12.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.29u | -0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Exsted | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → PAR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Exsted has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Johnston's 60%).
| Opponent | Exsted | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Ozan Baris | L 36 16 | L 46 16 |
| Tristan McCormick | W 75 64 | L 36 67 |
| Benjamin Berger | W 63 64 | W 76 61 |
| Matt Kuhar | W 36 63 64 | W 62 63 |
| Kaylan Bigun | W 63 63 | W 36 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 21
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Maximus Dussault
M25 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 15
Noah Zamora
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Jacob Brumm
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 1st Round
Jul 8
Noah Zamora
M15 San Diego · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ozan Baris
M15 Lakewood · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Kaylan Bigun
M15 Lakewood · 1st Round
Jun 3
Lucas Marionneau
M15 Lakewood · 2nd Round
May 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–51 matches
| Metric | Exsted | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 46% |
| Sets won | 50% | 43% |
| Games won | 51% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Exsted | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Exsted | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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