Maxwell Exsted vs Nicolas VillalonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maxwell Exsted and Nicolas Villalon have met 1 time since 2026; Maxwell Exsted leads 1–0. Across all meetings Exsted has taken 2 sets to Villalon's 1. Their most recent meeting: Maxwell Exsted won at M15 Asuncion (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Exsted | Villalon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maxwell Exsted | Nicolas Villalon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 13/28 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/51 | 38% | 18/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 9/28 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 13/23 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Exsted 0, Villalon 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Exsted
⚔️ The Gladiator
Villalon
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maxwell Exsted.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
M15 Asuncion
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Exsted | Villalon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maxwell Exsted | Nicolas Villalon | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Exsted | Villalon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.49 |
| ROI % | -11.4% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.29u | -6.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Exsted | Villalon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → PAR | BRA → PAR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Villalon has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Exsted's 50%).
| Opponent | Exsted | Villalon |
|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 36 36 | L 36 46 |
| Santiago De La Fuente | W 62 63 | W 64 75 |
| Rafael Tosetto | L 63 36 46 | W 64 62 |
| Benjamin Berger | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 21
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Maximus Dussault
M25 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Julian Cundom
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Nicolas Bruna
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Benjamin Perez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Enzo Camargo Lima
M15 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Tomas Jordi Leston
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 29
Brandon Perez
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–51 matches
| Metric | Exsted | Villalon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 42% |
| Sets won | 50% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Exsted | Villalon |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Exsted | Villalon |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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