Maximus Jones vs Oskari PaldaniusPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maximus Jones and Oskari Paldanius have met 1 time since 2026; Maximus Jones leads 1–0. Across all meetings Jones has taken 2 sets to Paldanius's 0. Their most recent meeting: Maximus Jones won at Manacor Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jones | Paldanius | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maximus Jones | Oskari Paldanius | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 20/42 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 12% | 2/17 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 18/23 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 8/17 | 50% | 9/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Jones 1, Paldanius 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jones
💥 Big Hitter
Paldanius
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
Manacor Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jones | Paldanius | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maximus Jones | Oskari Paldanius | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jones | Paldanius |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | +27.7% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.66u | -0.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Jones and Paldanius posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Jones | Paldanius |
|---|---|---|
| Amit Vales | W 62 67 64 | W 36 75 64 |
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | L 46 67 | L 62 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Gima
San Gregorio di Catania Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Hiroki Moriya
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Florent Bax
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ivan Ivanov
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Oskari Paldanius
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Alastair Gray
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Ilya Ivashka
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo · Semifinals
Jul 4
Rihards Neimanis
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Oct 7
Maxime Janvier
Cassis Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Nicolas Tepmahc
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Maximus Jones
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Peter Makk
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Amit Vales
M15 Turku · Final
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–42 matches
| Metric | Jones | Paldanius |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 42% |
| Sets won | 44% | 45% |
| Games won | 49% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jones | Paldanius |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jones | Paldanius |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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