Max Houkes vs Sumit NagalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Max Houkes and Sumit Nagal have met 3 times since 2023; Sumit Nagal leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rome Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Nagal leads 2–1. Across all meetings Houkes has taken 2 sets to Nagal's 4. Their most recent meeting: Max Houkes won at Hamburg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Houkes | Nagal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Max Houkes | Sumit Nagal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 52/67 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 25/94 | 40% | 20/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 38/57 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 57/63 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 52/63 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Houkes 1, Nagal 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Houkes
👑 The Complete Package
Nagal
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Max Houkes.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 11, 2026
Hamburg Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 24, 2025
Tampere Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 28, 2023
Rome Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Houkes | Nagal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Max Houkes | Sumit Nagal | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 26/27 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 3 or more | 59% | 16/27 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 26% | 7/27 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/27 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Houkes | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 22–5 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.37 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | +2.6% | -34.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.69u | -3.84u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nagal has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Houkes's 50%).
| Opponent | Houkes | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Kumstat | L 46 67 | L 57 36 |
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | L 06 26 | W 63 63 |
| David Jorda Sanchis | W 63 61 | W 63 75 |
| Zdenek Kolar | W 62 63 | W 64 76 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 16 36 | L 75 16 46 |
| S D Prajwal Dev | W 76 64 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dev Javia
M25 Kigali · Final
Oct 11
Calvin Hemery
M25 Kigali · Semifinals
Oct 10
Alec Beckley
M25 Kigali · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Manuel Plunger
M25 Kigali · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Rodrigo Alujas
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Oct 7
Benjamin Lock
M25 Kigali · Semifinals
Oct 3
Alec Beckley
M25 Kigali · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Allan Gatoto
M25 Kigali · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Luka Mikrut
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Soon Woo Kwon
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, KOR-IND · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Hyeon Chung
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, KOR-IND · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jan Kumstat
Prague Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Eduardo Ribeiro
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Max Houkes
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jan Kumstat
Liberec Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–94 matches
| Metric | Houkes | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 44% |
| Sets won | 68% | 48% |
| Games won | 57% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Houkes | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Houkes | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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