Max Houkes vs Rodrigo AlujasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ณ๐ฑMax Houkes
#226 ยท 26 yrs ยท L
5Title2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0
๐ฒ๐ฝRodrigo Alujas
#760 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
Max Houkes and Rodrigo Alujas have met 2 times since 2025; Max Houkes leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Brazzaville Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Houkes leads 2โ0. Houkes has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Houkes has taken 4 sets to Alujas's 0. Their most recent meeting: Max Houkes won at M25 Kigali (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Houkes | Alujas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Max Houkes | Rodrigo Alujas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 53/68 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 25/95 | 28% | 16/57 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 39/58 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 58/64 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 53/64 | 82% | 23/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Houkes 2, Alujas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Houkes
๐ The Complete Package
Alujas
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Max Houkes.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2026
M25 Kigali
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Feb 19, 2025
Brazzaville Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Houkes | Alujas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Max Houkes | Rodrigo Alujas | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 27/28 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 3 or more | 61% | 17/28 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 8/28 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/28 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Houkes | Alujas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 22โ6 | 3โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.39 | 5.06 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | -54.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | -4.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Houkes has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Alujas's 0%).
| Opponent | Houkes | Alujas |
|---|---|---|
| Calvin Hemery | W 46 62 62 | L 16 46 |
| Manuel Plunger | W 63 64 | L 57 36 |
| Maxime Chazal | W 62 61 | L 16 16 |
| Dinko Dinev | W 61 30 | L 16 62 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dev Javia
M25 Kigali ยท Final
Oct 11
Calvin Hemery
M25 Kigali ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Alec Beckley
M25 Kigali ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Manuel Plunger
M25 Kigali ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Rodrigo Alujas
M25 Kigali ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Benjamin Lock
M25 Kigali ยท Semifinals
Oct 3
Alec Beckley
M25 Kigali ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Allan Gatoto
M25 Kigali ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Max Houkes
M25 Kigali ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Calvin Hemery
M25 Kigali ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda
M25 Kigali ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto
M15 Asuncion ยท 2nd Round
Aug 19
Nicolas Garcia Longo
M15 Asuncion ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 57โ95 matches
| Metric | Houkes | Alujas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 51% |
| Sets won | 68% | 52% |
| Games won | 57% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Houkes | Alujas |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Houkes | Alujas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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