Matthew William Donald vs Nikolai BarsukovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matthew William Donald and Nikolai Barsukov have met 1 time since 2026; Matthew William Donald leads 1–0. Across all meetings Donald has taken 2 sets to Barsukov's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matthew William Donald won at M25 Kassel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | William Donald | Barsukov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matthew William Donald | Nikolai Barsukov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 38/50 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 7/27 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 19/77 | 35% | 20/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 17/25 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 44/47 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 38/47 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (William Donald 1, Barsukov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Donald
⚔️ The Gladiator
Barsukov
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 9, 2026
M25 Kassel
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Donald | Barsukov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matthew William Donald | Nikolai Barsukov | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Donald | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–3 | 9–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | +5.3% | -29.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | -5.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Donald | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SUI | GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Donald and Barsukov posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Donald | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Filip | L 36 46 | L 26 64 36 |
| Daniel Paty | W 64 63 | W 76 76 |
| Miguel Damas | W 62 76 | W 64 75 |
| Luca Wiedenmann | L 57 26 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Louis Wessels
M25 Muttenz · Semifinals
Aug 15
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Muttenz · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
M25 Muttenz · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Lorenzo Bocchi
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Max Wiskandt
M25 Kassel · Final
Jul 12
Ioannis Xilas
M25 Kassel · Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Kassel · Semifinals
Jul 11
Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Kassel · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Jakub Filip
M15 Allershausen · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Thilo Behrmann
M15 Allershausen · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Thilo Behrmann
M15 Allershausen · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Christian Djonov
M15 Allershausen · 1st Round
Aug 25
David Fix
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Filip Krolo
M25 Wetzlar · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Ivan Gakhov
M25 Wetzlar · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Edison Ambarzumjan
M25 Wetzlar · 1st Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–77 matches
| Metric | Donald | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 44% |
| Sets won | 62% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Donald | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Donald | Barsukov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.