Matthew Thomson vs Preston BrownPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matthew Thomson and Preston Brown have met 1 time since 2026; Matthew Thomson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Thomson has taken 2 sets to Brown's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matthew Thomson won at M15 Huamantla (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thomson | Brown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matthew Thomson | Preston Brown | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 30% | 3/10 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 18% | 7/39 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | 18% | 10/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 2/8 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 31% | 11/36 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 3/8 | 87% | 13/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thomson 1, Brown 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thomson
💥 Big Hitter
Brown
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matthew Thomson.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 25, 2026
M15 Huamantla
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Thomson | Brown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matthew Thomson | Preston Brown | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thomson | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–3 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 3.25 |
| ROI % | +47.5% | -7.9% |
| Units P/L | +5.70u | -0.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thomson | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | MEX | POL → ROU → HUN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Thomson and Brown posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Thomson | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Amaury Lage Castelan | W 64 67 75 | W 61 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elijah Strode
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Aug 1
Matt Kuhar
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lance Amaury Lage Castelan
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · Final
Jul 26
Preston Brown
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Jul 25
Joaquin Guilleme
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Aditya Vishal Balsekar
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Jan Hrazdil
M15 Pecs · 1st Round
Aug 26
Fermin Tenti
M15 Arad · 1st Round
Aug 19
Yassine Smiej
M15 Warsaw · 1st Round
Aug 12
Rodrigo Alujas
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 28
Matthew Thomson
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Jul 25
Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Gray Voelzke
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Lance Amaury Lage Castelan
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–55 matches
| Metric | Thomson | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 29% |
| Sets won | 44% | 33% |
| Games won | 49% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thomson | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thomson | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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