Matthew Thomson vs Novak NovakovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matthew Thomson and Novak Novakovic have met 1 time since 2026; Novak Novakovic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Thomson has taken 1 sets to Novakovic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Novak Novakovic won at M15 Columbia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thomson | Novakovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matthew Thomson | Novak Novakovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 7/14 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 3/10 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 10/24 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 3/10 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 11/12 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 7/12 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thomson 0, Novakovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thomson
👑 The Complete Package
Novakovic
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 67% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 34 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matthew Thomson.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 23, 2026
M15 Columbia
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Thomson | Novakovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matthew Thomson | Novak Novakovic | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thomson | Novakovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–3 | 3–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 2.92 |
| ROI % | +40.9% | +25.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.50u | +1.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Novakovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Thomson's 0%).
| Opponent | Thomson | Novakovic |
|---|---|---|
| Oliver Bonding | L 46 16 | L 16 06 |
| Thomas Nelson | L | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Bonding
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round
Sep 30
Novak Novakovic
M15 Columbia · 1st Round
Sep 23
Thomas Nelson
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Elijah Strode
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Aug 1
Matt Kuhar
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lance Amaury Lage Castelan
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · Final
Jul 26
Oliver Bonding
M15 Columbia · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Matthew Thomson
M15 Columbia · 1st Round
Sep 23
Jonah Braswell
M15 Columbia · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Ruslan Tiukaev
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 5
Liam Delicata
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Balthazar Huss
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Danilo Zdravkovski
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–24 matches
| Metric | Thomson | Novakovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 50% |
| Sets won | 53% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thomson | Novakovic |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thomson | Novakovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.