Matthew Dellavedova vs Yuki MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บMatthew Dellavedova
#283 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
5Title2 meetings ยท sets 4โ1
๐ฏ๐ตYuki Mochizuki
#802 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
5wMatthew Dellavedova and Yuki Mochizuki have met 2 times since 2025; Matthew Dellavedova leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at M25 Sapporo 2 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Dellavedova leads 2โ0. Dellavedova has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Dellavedova leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Dellavedova has taken 4 sets to Mochizuki's 1. Their most recent meeting: Matthew Dellavedova won at M15 Tianjin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dellavedova | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matthew Dellavedova | Yuki Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 78/91 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 13/39 | 19% | 6/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 26/130 | 27% | 14/52 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 58/82 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 17/33 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 16/28 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 82/88 | 94% | 16/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 78/88 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dellavedova 1, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dellavedova
๐ The Complete Package
Mochizuki
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matthew Dellavedova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 9, 2026
M15 Tianjin
H Hard ยท Final
Sep 11, 2025
M25 Sapporo 2
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dellavedova | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matthew Dellavedova | Yuki Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 37/41 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 51% | 21/41 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 8/41 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 2% | 1/41 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/41 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/41 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Dellavedova | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 28โ11 | 7โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | +3.2% | -26.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.25u | -3.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dellavedova | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 5 | โ |
| Distance | 1,972 mi ยท 3,173 km | โ |
| Route | VIE โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Dellavedova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Mochizuki's 30%).
| Opponent | Dellavedova | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Ferguson | W | L 26 46 |
| Kasidit Samrej | W 61 62 | L 46 67 |
| Kazuki Nakajima | W 67 63 62 | W 60 60 |
| Hiromasa Koyama | W 61 62 | L 46 46 |
| Shinji Hazawa | W 64 16 76 | L 16 46 |
| Fanming Meng | W 61 63 | L 36 16 |
| Donghyun Hwang | W 62 62 | W 63 63 |
| Omar Jasika | L 67 36 | L 46 57 |
| Matt Hulme | W | W 57 75 75 |
| Moerani Bouzige | W 63 64 | L 61 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mert Alkaya
M25 Luan ยท Final
Oct 11
Yanki Erel
M25 Luan ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Yaojie Zeng
M25 Luan ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Jordan Chiu
M25 Luan ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Zhao Zhao
M25 Luan ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Andre Ilagan
Jingshan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Fajing Sun
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Chase Ferguson
M25 Sapporo ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Makoto Ochi
M25 Sapporo ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Kasidit Samrej
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Chuan En Hsu
M25 Taipei ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Shih Chieh Lin
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Fanming Meng
M15 Tianjin ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin ยท Final
Aug 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 52โ130 matches
| Metric | Dellavedova | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 40% |
| Sets won | 68% | 41% |
| Games won | 58% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dellavedova | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dellavedova | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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