Matthew Dellavedova vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 6 · 6:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.82 or longer, Matthew Dellavedova has won 4 of 22 (18%). That is level with the 18% the price implied.
At 1.21 or shorter, Taro Daniel has won 37 of 41 (90%). The price implied 83%, so Taro Daniel has beaten it by 7 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Matthew Dellavedova meets Taro Daniel in the first round of the Shanghai Challenger on hard court September 7. Dellavedova carries a ranking of 293 to Daniel's 160, though both arrive with similar recent win rates of 60% over their last five matches.
The two have never faced each other. Dellavedova has won 7 of 10 recent matches and arrives having played eight times in the last two weeks, though he lost his most recent outing. Daniel won 7 of 10 over the same span but has played just once in fourteen days and comes in on a two-match losing streak. Both men beat Jake Delaney at separate times, but the circumstantial value is limited.
On hard court, Dellavedova's record of 80% win rate reflects a versatile all-court game. Daniel, a big hitter by tendency, has posted 65% on the surface and relies on aggressive shot-making and power from the baseline. Dellavedova's match volume and recent consistency will be tested against Daniel's heavier racket and pattern of wins over steady competition.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dellavedova | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matthew Dellavedova | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 78/94 | 70% | 28/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 13/39 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 29/133 | 34% | 21/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 55/83 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 17/33 | 78% | 28/36 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 17/31 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 84/89 | 87% | 34/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 78/89 | 72% | 28/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dellavedova
👑 The Complete Package
Daniel
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,595 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Dellavedova and Daniel have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dellavedova | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matthew Dellavedova | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 49/53 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 23/53 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 9/53 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 2/53 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/53 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/53 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dellavedova | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 41–9 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +11.8% | +52.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.92u | +9.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dellavedova | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 5 | 2 |
| Matches | 18 | 7 |
| Distance | — | 444 mi · 714 km |
| Route | CHN → TPE → CHN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Dellavedova's 0%).
| Opponent | Dellavedova | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Delaney | L 57 36 | W 64 62 |
| Dane Sweeny | L 26 16 | L 57 46 |
| James Duckworth | L 36 06 | L 62 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Luca Castelnuovo
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · Final
Aug 30
Kasidit Samrej
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Tai Sach
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Yu Hsiou Hsu
M25 Taipei · Final
Aug 23
Andrew Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Dusan Lajovic
Quebec City Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Maxime St-Hilaire
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Kyrian Jacquet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–133 matches
| Metric | Dellavedova | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 66% |
| Sets won | 68% | 62% |
| Games won | 58% | 54% |