Matteo Vavassori vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Matteo Vavassori
#1657 · 21 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇮🇹Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
#1078 · 20 yrs
3Matteo Vavassori and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini have met 1 time since 2026; Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Vavassori has taken 0 sets to Mordini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini won at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vavassori | Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Vavassori | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 6/11 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 2/12 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 7/23 | 26% | 12/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 3/5 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 4/10 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 1/4 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 85% | 17/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 6/11 | 85% | 17/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vavassori 0, Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vavassori
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mordini
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Vavassori.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 5, 2026
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vavassori | Mordini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Vavassori | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 74% | 14/19 |
| 3 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vavassori | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.97 | 2.64 |
| ROI % | -21.3% | +37.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.70u | +4.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Vavassori and Mordini posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Vavassori | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Sciahbasi | L 16 57 | L 36 46 |
| Niccolo Ferrari | W 62 62 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Sciahbasi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Niccolo Ferrari
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marat Salbiev
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 1st Round
Sep 16
Filippo Callerio
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Fedor Altukhov
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Niklas Guttau
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Michael Wright
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Giannicola Misasi
M15 Burgas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Jannik Maute
M15 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alexander Weis
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Mattias Pisanu
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Vittorio Gillerio
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–47 matches
| Metric | Vavassori | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 40% |
| Sets won | 45% | 45% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vavassori | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vavassori | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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