Matteo Mesaglio vs Timofei DerepaskoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Mesaglio and Timofei Derepasko have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Mesaglio leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mesaglio has taken 2 sets to Derepasko's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Mesaglio won at M15 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mesaglio | Derepasko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Mesaglio | Timofei Derepasko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 83% | 33/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 2/8 | 32% | 12/37 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 3/15 | 25% | 19/77 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 48% | 22/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 82% | 37/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 73% | 33/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mesaglio 1, Derepasko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mesaglio
🪃 Counterpuncher
Derepasko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 24, 2026
M15 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mesaglio | Derepasko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Mesaglio | Timofei Derepasko | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mesaglio | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.05 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -47.6% | -13.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.38u | -2.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mesaglio | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | VIE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Mesaglio and Derepasko posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Mesaglio | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Vittorio Gillerio | W 62 62 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniele Minighini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Vittorio Gillerio
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Aidan McHugh
M25 Pozzuoli · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Davide Ciaschetti
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round
Sep 8
Patric Prinoth
M25 Pozzuoli · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Massimo Junior Del Carmine
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Davide Ciaschetti
M15 Bologna · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Omar Jasika
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Filip Peliwo
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Sergey Fomin
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Matic Dimic
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 28
Francesco Ferrari
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 23
Ilia Simakin
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Taisei Ichikawa
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Stefan Storch
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–77 matches
| Metric | Mesaglio | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 52% |
| Sets won | 48% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mesaglio | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mesaglio | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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