Matteo Martineau vs Yanki ErelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทMatteo Martineau
#287 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐น๐ทYanki Erel
#303 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
Matteo Martineau and Yanki Erel have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Martineau leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Martineau has taken 2 sets to Erel's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Martineau won at Segovia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Martineau | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Martineau | Yanki Erel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 20/36 | 76% | 42/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 14/35 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 30/71 | 27% | 19/70 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 15/37 | 55% | 30/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 17/33 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 19/38 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 90% | 47/52 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 20/32 | 81% | 42/52 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Martineau 1, Erel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Martineau
๐ฏ Baseliner
Erel
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฏ Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Martineau.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 24, 2026
Segovia Challenger
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Martineau | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Martineau | Yanki Erel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Martineau | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ9 | 12โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.34u | +0.81u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Martineau | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | GBR | TUR โ TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Erel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Martineau's 50%).
| Opponent | Martineau | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Luka Pavlovic | L 46 63 16 | W 76 62 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 63 57 76 | W 60 62 |
| Iliyan Radulov | W 63 62 | W 64 64 |
| Petr Nesterov | L 36 36 | L 62 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Emile Hudd
Roehampton 2 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Billy Blaydes
Roehampton 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Lui Maxted
Roehampton 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Max Dahlin
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger ยท Final
Jul 26
Oliver Crawford
Segovia Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Yanki Erel
Segovia Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Gonzalo Villanueva
Segovia Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luca Castelnuovo
M25 Taipei ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Taipei ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Kokoro Isomura
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
Istanbul Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Paul Inchauspe
Samsun Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Radu Albot
Samsun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Arda Azkara
Samsun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Matteo Martineau
Segovia Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 70โ71 matches
| Metric | Martineau | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 79% |
| Sets won | 50% | 73% |
| Games won | 50% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Martineau | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Martineau | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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