Matteo Fondriest vs Mustapha El NatourPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Fondriest and Mustapha El Natour have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Fondriest leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fondriest has taken 2 sets to Natour's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Fondriest won at M15 Sharm ElSheikh (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fondriest | El Natour | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Fondriest | Mustapha El Natour | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 16% | 4/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/51 | 29% | 12/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 86% | 12/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fondriest 1, El Natour 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fondriest
⚙️ Grinder
Natour
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 31 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 29, 2026
M15 Sharm ElSheikh
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fondriest | Natour | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Fondriest | Mustapha El Natour | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fondriest | Natour |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.75 | 3.75 |
| ROI % | -16.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.61u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Fondriest and Natour posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Fondriest | Natour |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Piatrouski | W 36 64 108 | W 62 61 |
| Louis Allen | W 63 60 | W 63 26 103 |
| Javier Gonzalez | W 62 60 | W 60 61 |
| Nicolas Tepmahc | L 46 16 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Romain Faucon
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Hugo Pierre
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mustapha El Natour
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Paolo Gabriele Marino
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Dmytro Kovkin
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Karan Singh
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Daniil Piatrouski
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Filippo Crippa
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Nicola Senn
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Mousa Alkotop
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Medhir Goyal
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Matteo Fondriest
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Denis Rasshchupkin
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Faris Khatib
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Nacho Cepeda Martinez
M15 Melilla · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Makar Elesin
M15 Hurghada · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–51 matches
| Metric | Fondriest | Natour |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 39% |
| Sets won | 46% | 38% |
| Games won | 49% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fondriest | Natour |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fondriest | Natour |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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