Matteo Covato vs Noah KarmaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Covato and Noah Karma have met 1 time since 2026; Noah Karma leads 1–0. Across all meetings Covato has taken 1 sets to Karma's 2. Their most recent meeting: Noah Karma won at M25 Klosters (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Covato | Karma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Covato | Noah Karma | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 8/36 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 13/53 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 6/13 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 10/33 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 36% | 4/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Covato 0, Karma 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Covato
💥 Big Hitter
Karma
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
M25 Klosters
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Covato | Karma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Covato | Noah Karma | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Covato | Karma |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–10 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 5.39 | 2.60 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -24.3% |
| Units P/L | -10.00u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Covato | Karma |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SUI → GER → NED | SUI |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Karma has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Covato's 0%).
| Opponent | Covato | Karma |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Schlageter | L 16 46 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Adrien Berrut
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg · 1st Round
Jul 1
Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa · 1st Round
Jun 9
Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Lausanne · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Alessandro Hunziker
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Alessandro Hunziker
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sebastian Anthony Vlahos
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Arthur Bellegy
M15 Strasbourg · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tanguy Genier
Futures 2026
Jun 19
Tanguy Genier
M25 Klosters · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Justin Schlageter
M25 Klosters · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–53 matches
| Metric | Covato | Karma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 37% |
| Sets won | 35% | 41% |
| Games won | 45% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Covato | Karma |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Covato | Karma |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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