Matteo Covato vs Nicolas Esteban Rico AriasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Matteo Covato
#742 · 21 yrs · R
141 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇴Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias
#1558 · 25 yrs · R
6wMatteo Covato and Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Covato leads 1–0. Across all meetings Covato has taken 2 sets to Arias's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Covato won at M15 Huamantla 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Covato | Esteban Rico Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Covato | Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 8/36 | 10% | 1/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 13/53 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 6/13 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 10/33 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 2/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Covato 1, Esteban Rico Arias 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Covato
💥 Big Hitter
Arias
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 28, 2026
M15 Huamantla 1
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Covato | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–10 | - |
| Avg odds | 5.39 | - |
| ROI % | -100.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -10.00u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Covato | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SUI → GER → NED | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Covato has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arias's 0%).
| Opponent | Covato | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Heredia | W 75 76 | L 26 16 |
| Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios | W 67 63 62 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Adrien Berrut
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg · 1st Round
Jul 1
Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa · 1st Round
Jun 9
Felix Roussel
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 22
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
M15 Brasilia · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Victor Braga
M15 Brasilia · 1st Round
Jun 9
Diego Jarry Fillol
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Apr 29
Nicolas Villalon Valdes
M15 Quito · Round of 32
Apr 22
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Apr 21
Nicolas Villalon
KIA Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Chaca Challenger Metepec Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–53 matches
| Metric | Covato | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 29% |
| Sets won | 35% | 29% |
| Games won | 45% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Covato | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Covato | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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