Matteo Covato vs Natan RodriguesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Covato and Natan Rodrigues have met 1 time since 2026; Natan Rodrigues leads 1–0. Across all meetings Covato has taken 0 sets to Rodrigues's 2. Their most recent meeting: Natan Rodrigues won at Chaca Challenger Metepec Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Covato | Rodrigues | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Covato | Natan Rodrigues | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 8/36 | 16% | 3/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 13/53 | 18% | 7/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 6/13 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 10/33 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 100% | 20/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 85% | 17/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Covato 0, Rodrigues 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Covato
💥 Big Hitter
Rodrigues
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 15, 2026
Chaca Challenger Metepec Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Covato | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–10 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 5.39 | 4.32 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -10.00u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Covato | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SUI → GER → NED | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Covato and Rodrigues posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Covato | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael De Alba | L 46 26 | W 63 46 64 |
| Lucca Pinto | W 75 64 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Adrien Berrut
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg · 1st Round
Jul 1
Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa · 1st Round
Jun 9
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
CIT Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Millen Hurrion
M25 Nottingham · 1st Round
May 6
Finn Murgett
M25 Nottingham · 1st Round
Apr 29
Jose Pereira
Copa Internacional de Tenis · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 6
Franco Ribero
São Léo Open de Tênis · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Andres Urrea
KIA Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Andy Andrade
Metepec Challenger · 2nd Round
Feb 19
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Chaca Challenger Metepec Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–53 matches
| Metric | Covato | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 53% |
| Sets won | 35% | 52% |
| Games won | 45% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Covato | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Covato | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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