Matteo Covato vs Mwendwa MbithiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Covato and Mwendwa Mbithi have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Covato leads 1–0. Across all meetings Covato has taken 2 sets to Mbithi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Covato won at M15 Quito (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Covato | Mbithi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Covato | Mwendwa Mbithi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 9/39 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/61 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 8/15 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 14/39 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 7/18 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 65% | 11/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Covato 1, Mbithi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Covato
🤖 Servebot
Mbithi
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 8, 2026
M15 Quito
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Covato | Mbithi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Covato | Mwendwa Mbithi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 5 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Covato | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–10 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 5.66 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -27.1% | -13.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | -0.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Covato and Mbithi posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Covato | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Felipe De Dios | W 61 64 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M15 Quito · Semifinals
Oct 10
Felipe De Dios
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mwendwa Mbithi
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Dakotah Bobo
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 6
Stefan Seifert
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Victor Barrere
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 22
Izan Almazan Valiente
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Leo Raquillet
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Matteo Covato
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Juan Dominguez Collado
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 6
Niels Peter Van Noord
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Andres Delgadillo
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Jul 25
Emiliano Aguilera
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mauricio Echazu
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–61 matches
| Metric | Covato | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 49% |
| Sets won | 39% | 48% |
| Games won | 46% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Covato | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Covato | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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