Matt Ponchet vs Mickael KaoukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matt Ponchet and Mickael Kaouk have met 1 time since 2026; Mickael Kaouk leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ponchet has taken 0 sets to Kaouk's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mickael Kaouk won at M25 Plaisir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ponchet | Kaouk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matt Ponchet | Mickael Kaouk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 17/22 | 94% | 15/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 12/41 | 18% | 6/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 68% | 13/19 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 5/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ponchet 0, Kaouk 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ponchet
💥 Big Hitter
Kaouk
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matt Ponchet.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 8, 2026
M25 Plaisir
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ponchet | Kaouk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matt Ponchet | Mickael Kaouk | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ponchet | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.99 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -65.9% | -19.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.61u | -1.79u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ponchet | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 523 mi · 841 km |
| Route | — | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Ponchet and Kaouk posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Ponchet | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 76 64 | W 60 60 |
| Yanis Ghazouani Durand | L 46 06 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mickael Kaouk
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round
Sep 8
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Marcus Walters
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Conor Gannon
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Ammar Elamin
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Melvin Kumar
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcel Zielinski
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Gianluca Carlini
M25 Roda de Bara · 1st Round
Jul 7
Norbert Gombos
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Justin Boulais
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Anton Matusevich
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Patrick Zahraj
M25 Plaisir · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Nicolas Ifi
M25 Plaisir · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Matt Ponchet
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round
Sep 8
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–41 matches
| Metric | Ponchet | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 46% |
| Sets won | 54% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ponchet | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ponchet | Kaouk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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