Matilde Paoletti vs Sophie GreinerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Matilde Paoletti
#718 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇩🇪Sophie Greiner
Unranked · 22 yrs
5wMatilde Paoletti and Sophie Greiner have met 1 time since 2026; Matilde Paoletti leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paoletti has taken 2 sets to Greiner's 1. Their most recent meeting: Matilde Paoletti won at W35 Reus (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paoletti | Greiner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matilde Paoletti | Sophie Greiner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 9/14 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 5/9 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 10/23 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 8/18 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 2/3 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 2/7 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 80% | 16/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paoletti 0, Greiner 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paoletti
⚔️ The Gladiator
Greiner
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 8, 2026
W35 Reus
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paoletti | Greiner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matilde Paoletti | Sophie Greiner | ||
| 1 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paoletti | Greiner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 3.47 |
| ROI % | -7.9% | +3.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.42u | +0.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paoletti | Greiner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → MNE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paoletti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Greiner's 0%).
| Opponent | Paoletti | Greiner |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Yesypchuk | W 57 63 64 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Eva Bennemann
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Francesca Gandolfi
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alisa Oktiabreva
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Daria Yesypchuk
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Maria Toma
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 16
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W35 Reus · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Diletta Cherubini
W35 Reus · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Matilde Paoletti
W35 Reus · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rebecca Malmstrom
W35 Reus · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Anna Orlando Pellicero
W35 Reus · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Esther Lopez Alcaraz
W15 Badalona · 1st Round
Sep 2
Tina Manescu
W35 Erwitte · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Evita Ramirez
W35 Erwitte · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Merel Hoedt
W50 Hamburg · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Valentina Steiner
W50 Hamburg · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–32 matches
| Metric | Paoletti | Greiner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 66% |
| Sets won | 59% | 64% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paoletti | Greiner |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paoletti | Greiner |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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