Matilde Paoletti vs Noemi MainesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Matilde Paoletti
#879 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇮🇹Noemi Maines
Unranked · 19 yrs
8wMatilde Paoletti and Noemi Maines have met 1 time since 2026; Matilde Paoletti leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paoletti has taken 2 sets to Maines's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matilde Paoletti won at W15 Grado (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paoletti | Maines | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matilde Paoletti | Noemi Maines | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 3/6 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 4/6 | 19% | 4/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 58% | 7/12 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 3/8 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 2/2 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 20% | 1/5 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 30% | 3/10 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paoletti 1, Maines 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paoletti
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maines
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Matilde Paoletti and Noemi Maines are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 14,668 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 19, 2026
W15 Grado
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paoletti | Maines | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matilde Paoletti | Noemi Maines | ||
| 1 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paoletti | Maines |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 3.30 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | -50.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.32u | -3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paoletti | Maines |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → FRA → POR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Gabriela Ce
W35 Trieste · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sophie Triquart
W35 Trieste · 1st Round
Aug 25
Mia Ristic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 15
Rada Zolotareva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Elena Milutinovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Despina Papamichail
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Mariia Masiianskaia
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 5
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W35 Tarvisio · 1st Round
Jun 24
Victoria Allen
W35 Don Benito · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Ashleigh Harvey
W35 Don Benito · 1st Round
Jul 8
Noemi Basiletti
W35 Tarvisio · 1st Round
Jun 24
Lorena Solar Donoso
W35 Casablanca · 1st Round
Jun 10
Nina Vargova
W15 Casablanca · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Aaddi Gupta
W15 Casablanca · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W15 Casablanca · 1st Round
Jun 3
Matilde Paoletti
W15 Grado · 1st Round
May 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–44 matches
| Metric | Paoletti | Maines |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 52% |
| Sets won | 52% | 49% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paoletti | Maines |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paoletti | Maines |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.