Matilde Mariani vs Milana ZhabrailovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Matilde Mariani
#819 · 24 yrs · Left-Handed
42 meetings · sets 2–2
🇷🇺Milana Zhabrailova
#760 · 23 yrs
23wMatilde Mariani and Milana Zhabrailova have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at W15 Monastir 6 in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Mariani has taken 2 sets to Zhabrailova's 2. Their most recent meeting: Milana Zhabrailova won at W15 Monastir 7 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mariani | Zhabrailova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matilde Mariani | Milana Zhabrailova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 4/21 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 12/53 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mariani 1, Zhabrailova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mariani
⚔️ The Gladiator
Zhabrailova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 24, 2026
W15 Monastir 7
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 20, 2026
W15 Monastir 6
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mariani | Zhabrailova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.98 | - |
| ROI % | +36.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +4.37u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mariani | Zhabrailova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUN → PER → MNE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zhabrailova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Mariani's 25%).
| Opponent | Mariani | Zhabrailova |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 62 64 | W 76 26 63 |
| Daria Yesypchuk | L 26 36 | W 62 62 |
| Alicia Dudeney | L 36 16 | L 57 26 |
| Marta Lombardini | L 57 46 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicole Andrea Molaro
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Polina Berezina
W15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Masha Lazarenko
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 30
Yekaterina Dmitrichenko
W15 Monastir · Final
Sep 20
Lan Mi
W15 Monastir · Semifinals
Sep 19
Unknown Player
W15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Maria Oliver Sanchez
W15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Mariia Masiianskaia
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Vanesa Mrazova
W75 Trnava · 1st Round Qualifying
May 10
Noemi Basiletti
W75 Chiasso · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Alicia Dudeney
W15 Monastir 7 · Semifinals
Mar 28
Mara Guth
W15 Monastir 7 · Quarterfinals
Mar 27
Daria Yesypchuk
W15 Monastir 7 · 2nd Round
Mar 26
Matilde Mariani
W15 Monastir 7 · 1st Round
Mar 24
Inka Wawrzkiewicz
W15 Monastir 6 · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Matilde Mariani
W15 Monastir 6 · Quarterfinals
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–53 matches
| Metric | Mariani | Zhabrailova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 59% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mariani | Zhabrailova |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mariani | Zhabrailova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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