Mathys Erhard vs Paul TheatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mathys Erhard and Paul Theate have met 1 time since 2026; Mathys Erhard leads 1–0. Across all meetings Erhard has taken 2 sets to Theate's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mathys Erhard won at Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Erhard | Theate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mathys Erhard | Paul Theate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 26/40 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 12/36 | 14% | 2/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 26/76 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 16/37 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 18/32 | 17% | 2/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 15/35 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 30/38 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Erhard 1, Theate 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Erhard
💥 Big Hitter
Theate
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 579 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mathys Erhard.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 27, 2026
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Erhard | Theate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mathys Erhard | Paul Theate | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Erhard | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 4.63 |
| ROI % | +6.7% | -60.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.20u | -4.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Erhard | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 517 mi · 832 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Erhard has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Theate's 33%).
| Opponent | Erhard | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| Thilo Behrmann | W 63 63 | W 57 61 75 |
| Jack Loge | W 57 63 63 | L 26 46 |
| Eero Vasa | W 36 75 60 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Tarvet
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alberto Barroso Campos
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Paul Theate
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Patrick Zahraj
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Daniil Glinka
Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Benjamin Pietri
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Charles Broom
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rodez · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mathys Erhard
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Arthur Nagel
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Arthur Lenglet
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yannis Batsabaken
M25 Nevers · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Stefan Seifert
M25 Plaisir · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Yanis Peterhans
M25 Plaisir · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Jack Patrick Mcgary
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–76 matches
| Metric | Erhard | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 22% |
| Sets won | 52% | 25% |
| Games won | 52% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Erhard | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Erhard | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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