Mathys Erhard vs Oliver TarvetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Villena Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 4 · 5:10 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.21 or shorter, Oliver Tarvet has won 12 of 13 (92%). The price implied 86%, so Oliver Tarvet has beaten it by 6 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Mathys Erhard meets Oliver Tarvet in 1st Round Qualifying at the Villena Challenger on October 4 on hard court. Erhard sits ranked 367, some 65 spots below Tarvet at 302, while Tarvet returns after 37 days away from competition. The two have never met.
Tarvet has dominated hard court play recently, winning 17 of his last 20 matches at 85%, while Erhard sits at 11-9 over a similar sample. Over his last five matches Tarvet won four; Erhard has won two of his last five and dropped his most recent encounter. Both players came out on the wrong end of a common opponent pairing: Erhard beat Charles Broom where Tarvet lost, but Inaki Montes-De La Torre defeated Erhard while Tarvet prevailed.
Erhard relies on power and aggressive stroke play from the baseline. Tarvet brings a more complete game across all court zones. Tarvet's recent numbers on hard court are sharply stronger, and his break from match play comes after sustained success rather than injury. For Erhard, the task is sustaining pressure early; for Tarvet, shaking off rust and maintaining the consistency that built his recent record.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Erhard | Tarvet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mathys Erhard | Oliver Tarvet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 26/40 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 12/35 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 34% | 12/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 16/37 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 18/31 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 15/35 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 30/38 | 92% | 22/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Erhard
💥 Big Hitter
Tarvet
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,581 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Erhard and Tarvet have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Erhard | Tarvet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mathys Erhard | Oliver Tarvet | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 11/19 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 4/19 | 22% | 4/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Erhard | Tarvet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 16–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | +6.7% | +6.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.20u | +1.08u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Erhard | Tarvet |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 517 mi · 832 km | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Erhard and Tarvet posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Erhard | Tarvet |
|---|---|---|
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | L 26 63 46 | W 57 64 76 |
| Charles Broom | W 62 67 61 | L 46 75 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alberto Barroso Campos
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Paul Theate
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Patrick Zahraj
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Daniil Glinka
Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Benjamin Pietri
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Charles Broom
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Anton Shepp
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Charles Broom
Roehampton 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 28
Emile Hudd
Roehampton 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Oliver Bonding
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 22
Anton Matusevich
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Charles Broom
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–75 matches
| Metric | Erhard | Tarvet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 68% |
| Sets won | 52% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |