Mathieu Scaglia vs Robin BertrandPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mathieu Scaglia and Robin Bertrand have met 1 time since 2026; Robin Bertrand leads 1–0. Across all meetings Scaglia has taken 0 sets to Bertrand's 2. Their most recent meeting: Robin Bertrand won at Cassis Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Scaglia | Bertrand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mathieu Scaglia | Robin Bertrand | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 12/24 | 88% | 50/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 34% | 14/41 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 18/43 | 21% | 21/98 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 4/15 | 68% | 43/63 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 13/23 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 87% | 53/61 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 82% | 50/61 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Scaglia 0, Bertrand 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Scaglia
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bertrand
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mathieu Scaglia.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 8, 2026
Cassis Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Scaglia | Bertrand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mathieu Scaglia | Robin Bertrand | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 83% | 20/24 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 42% | 10/24 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 8% | 2/24 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Scaglia | Bertrand |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 14–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +3.8% | -16.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.64u | -3.68u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Scaglia | Bertrand |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bertrand has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Scaglia's 50%).
| Opponent | Scaglia | Bertrand |
|---|---|---|
| Finn Murgett | L 06 64 16 | W 75 60 |
| Jaume Casas Blasi | W 67 63 62 | W 60 62 |
| Ander Tarrio Ponte | W 67 63 64 | W 62 62 |
| Alaa Trifi | L 36 26 | W 60 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Finn Murgett
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Henri Haupt
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lucca Liu
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Robin Bertrand
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pierre Antoine Tailleu
Cassis Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Amit Vales
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Pierre Delage
M15 Cap d'Agde · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jaume Casas Blasi
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Guilherme Valdoleiros
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Philip Henning
M25 Setubal · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Joao Domingues
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Tiago Cacao
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 22
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Finn Murgett
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Diogo Morais
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–98 matches
| Metric | Scaglia | Bertrand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 58% |
| Sets won | 52% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Scaglia | Bertrand |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Scaglia | Bertrand |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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